The uses of Jason Arday

Essay · Race, universities and the public sphere

The uses of Jason Arday

A national press campaign about scholarly rigour is resting on a self-published, machine-generated blog post. The campaign defending him is resting on a claim the evidence will not carry. Both have made one man stand in for an argument he never agreed to have.

Update Jason Arday resigned from Cambridge and from Jesus College on 5 August, hours after the university opened an investigation into his qualifications and honorary appointments. The piece below is unchanged from publication; a postscript follows at the end.

In September 2025, Times Higher Education had a story ready about Professor Jason Arday of Cambridge. It rested on a sixty-three page dossier of text comparisons between his 2015 doctoral thesis and another academic’s dissertation. The magazine did not run it. Arday’s solicitors, Carter-Ruck, had written to the editor. On 3 August this year, with the story out anyway and running everywhere, the editor Chris Havergal published a note declining to explain that decision but accepting responsibility for it, and adding that the inquiries “reflected matters of legitimate public interest.”

In the eleven months between, the case passed out of the hands of higher education journalism and into the hands of people with quite different interests in it. The philosopher Nathan Cofnas, now at Ghent and until last year at Cambridge, published his own comparison on Substack. Guido Fawkes went after the visiting professorships. The Spectator, spiked and UnHerd took up the theme in near-unison, and Arday is only incidentally its subject. The subject is diversity policy, and what diversity policy is said to produce.

The number doing most of the work in that coverage is 188: sentences in Arday’s thesis described as identical or near-identical to sentences in Paula Zwozdiak-Myers’s 2009 Brunel thesis, with the odds of coincidence reported by the Telegraph at one in a hundred billion. It is worth knowing where the figure comes from. The Telegraph names no statistician. The analysis it draws on was published on 24 July on a personal blog by Alexey Titorenko, and carries a disclosure that its content was generated by an AI model. The post’s own central estimate is nearer one in twelve billion. The 188 is nine sentence pairs at the near-identical threshold, plus a hundred and seventy-nine that share twelve or more consecutive words.

Figure 1

What the headline figure of 188 is actually made of

9
Near-identical pairs (cosine ≥ 0.999) Pairs sharing 12+ consecutive words
The two components are not equivalent tests. Nine pairs meet the near-identical threshold; the remaining 179 meet a twelve-consecutive-word rule that will also catch shared quotation, methodological boilerplate and standard phrasing. Source: A. Titorenko, personal blog, 24 July 2026; reported in The Telegraph, 28 July 2026.

None of which makes the underlying overlap imaginary. Some of it is real and has been examined by people with names and standing. But a self-published, machine-generated analysis has become the evidentiary spine of a national press campaign about scholarly rigour, and nobody on that side of the argument appears to have found this awkward.

I want to start there rather than with the findings, because the findings are not the only thing on the table and they are not, sociologically, the most interesting thing.

I Who gets read twice

Almost no British professor’s doctoral thesis is read again after the viva. A 2015 thesis from a post-1992 university sits in a repository and is consulted, if at all, by two or three people over a decade. What has happened to Arday’s – a sixty-three page dossier, a probability estimate to eleven orders of magnitude, sentence-level comparison against three other theses – I cannot think of more than a handful of British parallels. It is worth being exact about what that establishes and what it does not. It does not establish that the thesis is clean. It establishes that a particular kind of forensic attention was directed at this scholar, and that the question of who attracts such attention is a different question from what it turns up. Both are answerable. They have different answers.

That distinction is the one thing almost nobody in this argument has been willing to make.

The right collapses it in one direction: because the scrutiny found something, the scrutiny must have been disinterested, and anyone raising the disproportion is running interference. The campaign around Arday collapses it in the other. The Good Law Project petition, at nearly fifteen thousand signatures, states that “entirely false allegations of plagiarism were made” and that “investigations have found no evidence whatsoever of wrongdoing.” The open letter, signed by people I respect enormously – Lord Boateng, Lord Woolley, Dame Ijeoma Uchegbu, Kehinde Andrews, Daniel Kebede – says that both institutions “conducted thorough investigations and found no evidence whatsoever of wrongdoing.”

II Both institutions did not

Cambridge conducted none, and says so: its position is that investigations belong to the university where the research was done. Liverpool John Moores ran a confidential procedure and has said publicly only that Arday’s PhD still stands. What is reported of the panel’s reasoning – that the citation issues were honest and reasonable error, and fell well within the accepted standards of the time – has never been published by the university in its own voice. So we have a finding nobody can read, quoted selectively by everybody, against which David Sanders, a biochemist at Purdue who reviewed the THE dossier, says there is “no question that there is extensive plagiarism.”

The campaign says

Entirely false allegations of plagiarism were made… Investigations have found no evidence whatsoever of wrongdoing. Good Law Project petition

The one panel says

Reportedly: honest and reasonable error, well within the accepted standards of the time. Publicly: only that Professor Arday’s PhD still stands. Liverpool John Moores, March 2026 — reasoning unpublished

The reviewer says

There is no question that there is extensive plagiarism. David Sanders, Purdue, on the THE dossier

That is not exoneration and it is not proof. It is an absence, and the absence is doing damage in both directions. My worry about the letter and the petition has nothing to do with their instinct, which is sound. It is that they did not need the additional claim. The case for disproportionate scrutiny stands perfectly well on its own feet. Having attached it to a claim about the evidence that the evidence will not carry, the campaign has staked the credibility of a real and documented argument about racism in British academia on the contents of one man’s footnotes. That was the trade the other side wanted, and it was accepted without a fight.

Our own field ought to have seen this coming. The sociology of race and education is now half a century old, out of the United States in the 1970s, into Britain through the 1980s, into continental Europe more recently, and its central concerns are race, power, identity and labelling. The last of those is doing the work here. A label, once it attaches, becomes the lens through which everything else is read. Arday has now carried two. The first was “Cambridge’s youngest Black professor,” which arrived with the appointment in March 2023 and was repeated in every profile, broadcast and press release. The second is “fantasist.”

You cannot be unmasked unless you have been masked, and the mask was not, in the main, of his own making.

III The Cambridge problem

Which brings me to Cambridge, whose conduct concerns me rather more than anything Arday has done.

The university was approached in 2023, not about the thesis but about a 2018 article in Social Sciences. Its Faculty of Education agreed with him that the article would be taken down while the concerns were addressed, offered him “full support,” and declined the complaint on the grounds that the paper was not within its remit. A correction appeared that December, and another followed in a second journal the year after. The procedural position is defensible on its own terms. Where it has ended up is not. Cambridge now says the allegations have been thoroughly investigated and that Arday “has been cleared by those investigations of any wrongdoing,” and has described the campaign against him as vile. An institution cannot decline jurisdiction and deliver a verdict. Doing both at once is not a defence of a colleague; it is a defence of a decision.

Figure 2

Three years in which nothing was decided

  1. October 2015Arday’s doctoral thesis is submitted to Liverpool John Moores.
  2. March 2023Cambridge announces his appointment as Professor of Sociology of Education.
  3. May–June 2023Cambridge is approached about a 2018 journal article — not the thesis. The Faculty of Education offers “full support” and declines the complaint as outside its remit.
  4. December 2023A correction appears in Social Sciences. A second correction follows in another journal in 2024.
  5. September 2025Times Higher Education prepares a story on the thesis. Carter-Ruck writes to the editor. It is not published.
  6. March 2026A Liverpool John Moores panel concludes in confidence. Its reasoning is never published.
  7. July 2026Nathan Cofnas publishes on Substack; a personal blog publishes the statistical comparison; the Telegraph runs it.
  8. 2 August 2026Cambridge states that the thesis is a matter for the awarding institution, and that Arday has been cleared.
  9. 3 August 2026THE‘s editor publishes his note on the spiked story.
  10. 5 August 2026Cambridge opens an investigation into Arday’s qualifications and honorary appointments. He resigns from the University and Jesus College within hours.
The doctoral allegations were never before Cambridge in 2023; what was before it was the journal article. Highlighted points mark the three moments at which an institution chose not to look; the final entry is the day it ended.

Consider whose interests it serves. Any serious examination of Arday’s record is unavoidably an examination of the appointment – of what was checked, by whom, against what criteria. “There is no case to answer” and “we will not be looking at our own process” are the same sentence in different clothes. Cambridge has attached its institutional dignity to a man it did not protect when protection was cheap, and the consequence is that he is now absorbing damage that properly belongs to a committee.

Paul Sagar, writing in UnHerd this week, put the appointment question bluntly: the record is “so obviously paper-thin that most academics couldn’t have got that position simply based on the CV.” I think that is closer to right than wrong, and I want to be clear that it is a criticism of an institution rather than of a person. Universities have worked out that a professor who is good on television is worth a great deal to them, and the incentives have quietly rearranged themselves to reflect it. Grants, doctoral completions, monographs, the slow accumulation of a record: these still sit on the promotion criteria, and they are still what the rest of us are held to. But an institution that wants a public face will find a way to appoint one. That is a governance failure with a specific address, and the address is not the appointee’s.

IV What the numbers have not done

It is also the characteristic failure mode of equality work done badly. The numbers have not moved.

Figure 3

Black representation in the UK professoriate, 2024–25

270
Black professors in the whole of the United Kingdom
Bars share one scale, drawn to the larger value. Source: HESA figures for 2024–25 as read by Zarus Cenac, SRHE Blog, 27 May 2026.

Thirty years of policy, on and off, and that is where we are. Shifting it means changing structures: recruitment, progression, workload, the distribution of invisible labour that falls on the very few. All of that is slow, expensive and unphotographable. Elevating one person is fast, cheap and photographs beautifully. Symbolic inclusion is what institutions reach for when structural inclusion costs too much, and its defining feature is that the whole weight of an argument comes to rest on an individual who never agreed to carry it.

I have led this kind of work, in more than one place, and I will not name them. It is the hardest thing I have done in academia, and the arrows arrive from both directions: from colleagues who take you for the instrument of an ideology, and from those who take you for the alibi of an institution with no intention of changing. The person of colour asked to run the programme is very often the one who carries the blame for its inadequacy, having been given neither the budget nor the authority to make it adequate.

The consolation is real, though. Most people are at neither pole. In every organisation I have worked in, the great majority of colleagues understand why this work exists and want it done properly. The noise comes from small numbers at each end, and volume should never be mistaken for distribution.

V The wrong case

The counter-example nobody is using

If you want to test whether British academia values Black scholarship, Arday is the wrong case. Hakim Adi is the right one. In 2015 he became the first historian of African heritage to hold a chair in history in this country. He built the world’s first online master’s in the history of Africa and the African diaspora at Chichester, trained a generation of doctoral students, and wrote African and Caribbean People in Britain: A History. In the summer of 2023 the university suspended recruitment to the programme and terminated his employment. About a week later he was shortlisted for the Wolfson History Prize.

There was a petition, the Royal Historical Society and the UCU objected, and the story stayed where such stories stay. An unimpeachable record was no protection at all, which ought to tell us something about how much of this was ever really about records.

So my sympathies fall roughly as follows. With the thousands who signed in good faith and were handed a claim about the evidence that will not survive contact with it. With the colleagues who appointed him and are watching their institution decline to defend its own decision on the merits. Above all with early-career academics of colour, watching this and drawing the obvious lesson, which is that visibility is a liability and the safe career is the quiet one: decline the invitation, refuse the podium, publish and say nothing. That is the chilling effect, and it will outlast every detail of this case.

As for Arday, he says he is not a liar; that his autism led him to rely on mimicry in making sense of information; that his doctoral supervision was inadequate and that he could not afford a proofreader when he started out. Some of that may be true. Some of it may be true and still not be enough. He is entitled to a proper process conducted by people with no stake in its outcome, and he has not had one, because the only body that examined the thesis did so in confidence and has never published its reasoning.

That reasoning should be published. Not because the Telegraph wants blood, though it does, and it will keep pushing until it gets some. Because the alternative is what we have now: a man turned into an argument, two institutions sheltering behind him, a national newspaper campaign resting on an AI-generated blog post, and a field of scholarship that deserves better than to have its legitimacy staked on the outcome.

Update

Added 6 August 2026

Postscript: he resigned the same day

Everything above was published yesterday morning and I have left it as it stood. By the evening it was out of date.

On 5 August the University of Cambridge announced that it had “begun an investigation following new information about Professor Arday’s academic qualifications and honorary appointments.” Within hours Arday resigned with immediate effect, from the University and from Jesus College, in an open letter published by the Good Law Project.

The statement repays a close reading, though not in the way most of the coverage assumed. In tone it is careful almost to the point of tenderness. The university says it “remains vital that any process is thorough and adheres to both University policies and employment law,” and adds: “We also fully recognise that there is a person at the centre of this situation, and we continue to provide support to him.” That is not an institution throwing someone overboard.

What is severe is the scope, not the tone. Three days earlier Cambridge’s position had been that the thesis was a matter for the awarding institution and there was nothing here for it to look at. Its position now is that it is investigating his qualifications and his honorary appointments. That is a different order of question. Whether a 2015 literature review was properly quoted is a question about scholarly care. Whether a professor holds the appointments he has been described as holding is a question about the accuracy of a public record, and about what an employer verified before it appointed him. Universities do not open the second inquiry lightly, and they do not open it at all unless something has been put in front of them that they cannot leave alone.

And then he resigned, and one of the processes died with him.

Only one, though, which is what makes this bleak rather than simple. An employer cannot discipline someone who has left, so that route is closed. But Cambridge said in the same statement that complaints of academic misconduct remain ongoing under its Misconduct in Research policy, which is not an employment process and can still end in corrections or retractions. Jesus College, from which he also resigned, is taking its own steps. Liverpool John Moores retains its authority over the degree it awarded. So there are three live processes, each with a different remit, each reporting to a different body, and not one of them publishes. None will produce an account of the whole.

Yesterday I argued that the scandal here was the absence of a disinterested public finding. Nothing that happened yesterday makes such a finding more likely. The resignation has removed the one forum in which all of the questions would have had to be answered together, and answered on the record. What is left is an outcome everybody can live with and nobody can check. The Telegraph gets a resignation it can read as a confession. His supporters get a departure they can read as a hounding. Cambridge is spared having to say in public what it checked in 2023, and why that was enough. The public record stays exactly as ambiguous as it is this morning, which suits very nearly everyone except him.

His own account deserves to be taken seriously on its own terms. He describes “an unrelenting level of public scrutiny and personal attack,” says that what he experienced “has gone far beyond scholarly disagreement” and has taken “a profound toll on me and on those I love,” and writes of wanting to reclaim “some peace, some privacy and some semblance of an ordinary life.” He states that the decision “should not be mistaken for an acceptance of the narratives that have surrounded me,” and that he intends to return to work. Others will read the timing differently. That both readings are available, and that neither can now be tested against anything, is the whole problem in one sentence.

Something should be said about the people who put the case together, since nobody who ran it thought this worth mentioning. Nathan Cofnas, whose Substack post opened the public phase last month, has his own history at Cambridge: Emmanuel College cut ties with him on 5 April 2024, two months to the day after he set out his views on race and hereditarianism on that same Substack. He is suing the college for discrimination on grounds of philosophical belief. Separately, the University’s disciplinary body rejected all fifty-eight complaints against him last October. None of that makes his textual comparisons wrong, and it would be lazy to pretend otherwise. But it is an interest, it was material, and not one of the newspapers that ran the story on his authority told its readers about it. The statistical analysis behind the figure of 188 came from a personal blog carrying a disclosure that its content was machine-generated. That went unmentioned too.

The comparison nobody drew

In the autumn of 2011 the philosopher Mark Anderson set out, in the Journal of Nietzsche Studies, extensive unattributed borrowing in Julian Young’s Nietzsche biography of the year before. Young acknowledged a serious scholarly failing and attributed it to inexperience and carelessness as a biographer: material that, across successive drafts, had lost contact with its sources. Wake Forest investigated and found no cause for disciplinary action. Cambridge University Press issued an errata slip and agreed to credit the earlier biographer in future editions. He kept his chair.

Nobody commissioned a probability calculation. Nobody went through his fundraising, his childhood or his medical history. The distance between that case and this one is not a distance in the conduct alleged.

So Cambridge could not carry him. It appointed him in 2023 into a role that was, whatever else it was, an answer to a question the university had been loudly asked since 2020, and when the answer grew expensive it stopped paying. Glasgow had made a version of the same appointment two years earlier. Both spent this week putting distance between themselves and him, as did Ohio State; each has been clear about what he does not currently hold, and silent about what it checked at the time.

You can be raised up for what you represent and dropped for the same reason, and the drop is a great deal faster than the rise.

His memoir, Great and Unfortunate Things, written with Eve Claxton as a great many memoirs are, is published by Simon & Schuster on 27 August. A week before the investigation was announced the publisher said that “as it stands” the book would appear in all formats. It has said nothing since. So this is not closure. It is a pause of about three weeks.

What we have instead is a man who has lost a chair, two universities that have lost an argument they should never have been having on these terms, and a field made to look as though it rested on one person.

It never did. That was the mistake, and very nearly everybody made it.

Sources

Sources added 6 August

Professor Tahir Abbas is Professor of Criminology and Global Justice at Aston University and Director of the Centre on Radicalisation, Inclusion and Social Equity. This piece describes allegations that remain contested and reaches no finding on them. Cambridge’s investigation into Professor Arday’s qualifications and honorary appointments, its research-misconduct complaints, and Jesus College’s own process were all ongoing at the time of writing.